nirholas

token-research

Conduct comprehensive fundamental analysis on crypto tokens covering team, technology, tokenomics, competitive landscape, and investment thesis evaluation.

nirholas 247 69 Actualitzat fa 5 mesos
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npx skillscat add nirholas/three-ws/token-research

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SKILL.md

Token Research

When to use this skill

Use when the user asks about:

  • Researching a specific token or project
  • Evaluating whether a token is worth investing in
  • Understanding a project's fundamentals
  • Performing due diligence on a new crypto project
  • Comparing token fundamentals across competing projects

Research Framework

1. Project Overview

Establish the basics:

  • What does this project do? — one-paragraph summary in plain language
  • Problem being solved — what specific pain point does it address?
  • Solution approach — how does the technology solve it?
  • Chain and ecosystem — which blockchain, L1/L2, and ecosystem position
  • Stage — mainnet, testnet, concept? How long has it been live?
  • Unique value proposition — what differentiates it from alternatives?

2. Team and Governance

Evaluate the people and organization:

  • Core team — public identities, relevant experience, previous projects
  • Advisors — notable advisors and their actual involvement level
  • Development activity — GitHub commits, active contributors count (30d, 90d)
  • Governance model — on-chain governance, multisig, foundation-controlled?
  • Transparency — does the team communicate regularly? Public roadmap?
  • Red flags — anonymous team with no track record, previous failed projects, legal issues

3. Technology Assessment

Analyze the technical architecture:

  • Consensus mechanism or core technical innovation
  • Scalability — throughput, latency, and roadmap for improvements
  • Security — audit history, bug bounty program, incident history
  • Composability — integrations with other protocols and ecosystem fit
  • Technical differentiation — what is novel vs fork of existing tech?
  • Open source — is code public and verifiable?

4. Tokenomics Deep Dive

Break down the token economy:

  • Total supply and circulating supply
  • Emission schedule — inflation rate over 1, 2, 5 years
  • Distribution — team %, investors %, community %, treasury %
  • Vesting schedules — when do large unlocks occur? (upcoming cliff dates)
  • Utility — what does the token actually do? (governance, fees, staking, collateral)
  • Value accrual — does protocol revenue flow to token holders? How?
  • Buyback/burn mechanisms — any deflationary pressures?
  • Fully diluted valuation vs current market cap — how much dilution ahead?

5. Market and Competitive Analysis

Position within the broader market:

  • Market category — DeFi, L1, NFT infra, oracle, etc.
  • Direct competitors — list 3-5 with brief comparison
  • Market share — TVL, volume, users relative to competitors
  • Competitive advantages — moats, network effects, switching costs
  • Market cap ranking — within its category
  • Growth trajectory — user growth, TVL growth, volume growth trends

6. On-Chain Metrics

Current health indicators:

  • Active addresses (daily, weekly) and trend
  • Transaction volume and fees generated
  • TVL if applicable, and TVL/market cap ratio
  • Holder distribution — concentration among top wallets
  • Smart money activity — are prominent wallets accumulating or distributing?

7. Risk Assessment

Identify and rate key risks:

  • Technical risk — unproven tech, single point of failure
  • Market risk — category headwinds, competition pressure
  • Regulatory risk — securities classification, jurisdiction issues
  • Tokenomics risk — upcoming unlocks, high inflation, VC overhang
  • Execution risk — can the team deliver on roadmap?
  • Liquidity risk — thin order books, limited exchange listings

8. Output Format

  • Project: Name and ticker
  • Category: Market segment
  • Summary: 2-3 sentence thesis
  • Strengths: Top 3 positives
  • Risks: Top 3 concerns
  • Tokenomics verdict: Healthy / Concerning / Poor
  • Valuation assessment: Undervalued / Fair / Overvalued (relative to peers)
  • Conviction level: High / Medium / Low
  • Suggested action: Research further / Small position / Conviction buy / Avoid