Shape Up Pitch & Codebase Analysis

Analyze Shape Up pitches against actual codebase to produce comprehensive kickoff documents with risk assessment and confidence rating.

References

Load as needed for detailed guidance:

• references/shape-up-methodology.md - Shape Up concepts, pitch anatomy, betting criteria
• references/risk-assessment.md - Risk categorization, rabbit hole identification, confidence scoring
• references/codebase-analysis.md - Systematic code review approach, health signals, impact mapping

Examples

See for expected quality:

• examples/example-pitch.md - Well-formed Shape Up pitch
• examples/example-output.md - Complete analysis output demonstrating format and depth

Required Inputs

1. Pitch document - Shape Up format (problem, appetite, solution, rabbit holes, no-gos)
2. Codebase access - Available in current repository

If pitch not provided, ask user before proceeding.

Dual Perspective Analysis

Analyze as both Senior PM and Senior Developer:

PM lens:

• Is problem clearly defined or solution disguised as problem?
• Who benefits and why now?
• What does "good enough" look like?
• What's measurable?

Dev lens:

• What does affected code actually look like?
• What complexity hides in "simple" requirements?
• What technical debt will we encounter?
• What's missing from pitch that code reveals?

Principles:

• Clarity over optimism—don't sugarcoat
• Time is limited—honor the appetite
• Be constructive—risks need mitigations
• Challenge assumptions—mark as ✅ Safe / ⚠️ Risky / ❓ Unknown

Process

Phase 1: Understand Pitch

1. Read pitch document carefully
2. Extract: problem, appetite, solution, rabbit holes, no-gos
3. Identify explicit scope boundaries
4. Note assumptions (stated and implied)
5. Flag missing elements

Phase 2: Codebase Exploration

1. Identify affected code areas using Glob/Grep
2. For each area:
   • Read relevant files
   • Assess health (tests, complexity, docs)
   • Note dependencies and integrations
   • Flag legacy or fragile code
3. Map pitch requirements to code paths
4. Find hidden complexity pitch doesn't mention

Phase 3: Risk Analysis

1. Cross-reference pitch assumptions with codebase reality
2. Categorize:
   • Known risks: Identified problems with clear impact
   • Rabbit holes: Could explode in scope
   • Unknowns: Need spikes to assess
3. Rate each: likelihood (High/Med/Low) × impact (High/Med/Low)
4. Propose mitigations

Phase 4: Synthesis

1. Rate bet confidence (1-5 stars)
2. List blocking questions
3. Suggest spikes, experiments, decisions
4. Note accepted trade-offs

Output Format

Generate project-kickoff-analysis.md:

# Project Kickoff – Pitch & Codebase Analysis

## 1. Project Summary (TL;DR)
One paragraph: problem, why now, who benefits. No jargon.

---

## 2. Understanding the Problem (PM View)

### 2.1 Problem Statement
- Real user/business problem?
- Clearly defined or solution disguised as problem?

### 2.2 Why Now?
- What triggered this pitch?
- Cost of not doing this?

### 2.3 Success Criteria
- How we know it worked
- What's measurable
- What's "good enough"

---

## 3. Proposed Solution (Critical Review)

### 3.1 Solution Overview
- Proposed solution summary
- Explicitly in scope
- Explicitly out of scope

### 3.2 Assumptions
| Assumption | Type | Status |
|------------|------|--------|
| Description | Technical/Product/User | ✅/⚠️/❓ |

---

## 4. Risks & Rabbit Holes

### 4.1 Known Risks
| Risk | Likelihood | Impact | Mitigation |
|------|------------|--------|------------|
| Description | H/M/L | H/M/L | Strategy |

### 4.2 Potential Rabbit Holes
List with concrete examples:
- What looks simple but isn't
- What could explode in scope
- Hidden dependencies

---

## 5. Codebase Review (Dev View)

### 5.1 High-Level Architecture
Brief tech stack overview relevant to this pitch.

### 5.2 Relevant Areas
| Area | Why It Matters | Confidence |
|------|---------------|------------|
| `path/to/module` | Reason | 👍/😐/🚨 |

**Legend:** 👍 Well understood, 😐 Needs exploration, 🚨 High risk

### 5.3 Code Health Signals
- Test coverage by area
- Complexity hotspots
- Technical debt markers
- Documentation gaps

---

## 6. Constraints & Boundaries

### 6.1 Time Box
- Fixed appetite: X weeks
- Must fit vs. can drop

### 6.2 Technical Constraints
- Required/forbidden tech
- Performance/security limits

---

## 7. Open Questions

| Question | Type | Can Proceed? | Risk if Unanswered |
|----------|------|--------------|-------------------|
| Specific question | Product/Tech/Data | Yes/No | Low/Med/High |

---

## 8. Bet Confidence

**Overall: ⭐⭐⭐☆☆** (X/5)

**Positive factors:**
- List

**Negative factors:**
- List

**What would increase confidence:**
- List

**What would kill the bet:**
- List

---

## 9. Suggested Next Steps

### Spikes to Run
- [ ] Spike name (timebox): Specific question to answer

### Experiments to Validate
- [ ] Experiment: What to test

### Decisions Needed Before Building
- [ ] Decision: What needs resolving

---

## 10. Final Notes
- Uncomfortable truths
- Trade-offs we're accepting

Quality Checklist

Before finalizing output:

• Every risk has mitigation strategy
• Code areas have specific paths, not vague descriptions
• Confidence ratings backed by evidence
• Open questions prioritized by blocker status
• Spikes are timeboxed with specific questions
• No vague or open-ended next steps